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Hong Kong Summer Flu Forecast

As forecast, influenza type A and B cases peaked in Hong Kong in the early winter months of 2016 and are decreasing in late May 2016. Influenza A: confirmed cases of influenza-like illness show similar patterns to Ascel Bio forecasts and showed peak transmission in late January and February of 2016. Ascel Bio projects a …

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Unusual Outbreak of Influenza Reported in Armenia

Armenia is reporting an atypical influenza outbreak due to A/H1N1 significant enough to prompt emergency meetings at their Ministry of Health.  This is in the context of expected seasonal influenza activity. Armenia has elected to extend the school holiday to slow down spread. Hospitalizations have been noted, however significant infrastructure stress has not been noted. …

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US Influenza 2015-2016 Seasonal Forecast

Disease: Influenza Location: US IDIS: less than Category 3 (non-crisis) Current Conditions: Influenza activity is low with sporadic activity across a number of states, and localized activity in Oklahoma. The South and Southeastern United States is historically impacted first by influenza outbreaks. Predominant strain: H3N2. Current signature pattern: routine activity. Forecast: Influenza actitivity will begin peaking …

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US Influenza Virus Seasonal Forecast

Ascel Bio is not anticipating a vaccine mismatch year at this point in time; however, we will need to re-assess in the coming weeks. The few reports of flu activity so far this year in the US appears to be type A/H3N2. H3N2, when considered at baseline, is associated with a moderate probability for vaccine …

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