Disease forecaster Ascel Bio today is re-issuing an alert for Chlamydia across the United States.
Warnings for Minnesota, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Puerto Rico, West Virginia, and Wyoming are being issued. According to the most recent data of early June 2016, the mentioned states are currently seeing higher incidence rates compared to our forecasts. Alerts for Minnesota, Puerto Rico, West Virginia and Wyoming persist since our last chlamydia alert.
Our Minnesota forecast presently is in a depression lasting until late July with fluctuating increases in late summer and fall season. Current Minnesota observed case count exceeds the forecast. New Hampshire observed cases rose considerably since late May, exceeding our forecast high with current projection currently showing New Hampshire entering a depression before rising again late summer. North Dakota forecast is also decreasing into mid summer before rising again. Observed chlamydial incidence rate in North Dakota is decreasing from peak reached in early June, however cases still exceed projection. Puerto Rico exhibits ongoing high chlamydial cases but has decreased from last observed data. Puerto Rico has a low forecast incidence rate throughout the year, but current cases are now close to five times compared to our data. Of note, West Virginia chlamydial incidence rate has sharply increased since late May, with most recent observation currently double compared to our projection. Wyoming forecast currently show a drop until rising again in mid July with several increases during the fall. Presently, incidence rate has also increased since early June, close to triple compared to our forecast.
Nationally, in the summer months, Ascel Bio is projecting a gradual increase in chlamydia cases and demand for care in respect to post counseling and treatment of sex partners. Chlamydia is a common sexually transmitted disease caused by the bacterium Chlamydia trachomatis. It is transmitted through vaginal, anal or oral intercourse. High-risk sexual behaviors such as unprotected sex and having multiple sex partners increases exposure to chlamydia. Patients are usually asymptomatic but symptoms may develop several weeks after exposure. Practicing safe sex and reducing high risk behaviors are highly recommended to reduce exposure.
Dan Nguyen joined Ascel Bio as a DiseaseCast contributor in January 2016. He holds a B.S. in Health Sciences and is currently a Medical Assistant working in New York State. Dan brings a passionate interest in clinical best practices and global health care issues to his reportage on disease outbreaks.