Disease forecaster Ascel Bio today is issuing an alert for Syphilis in the states of Florida, Virginia and Washington.
According to the most recent data available from mid to late July 2016, Florida, Virginia and Washington are exhibiting higher case counts of syphilitic infections compared to our forecasts.
The incidence rates for all mentioned states in early July were in range with or below our forecast low. However, in the following weeks, current observations show that case counts have risen dramatically in the span of one to two weeks. At the present time, for all states mentioned, reported cases all exceed our forecast high. It is important to note that in Virginia and Washington, cases are now close to double and triple compared to our forecasts respectively. The current forecasts for these states are already on a decline but will have fluctuating increases in the fall.
Nationally, Ascel Bio is projecting a steady increase in syphilis cases and an increase in demand for care through the summer months. Syphilis is caused by bacteria that is primarily spread through sexual contact and produces sores at the infected area. There are several stages of the disease as it progresses untreated. Syphilis has the potential, if left untreated, to cause severe neurological damage, affecting the brain, nerves, as well as other organs such as the eyes, liver and heart. Practicing safe sex and maintaining a long term sex partner is advised.
Dan Nguyen joined Ascel Bio as a DiseaseCast contributor in January 2016. He holds a B.S. in Health Sciences and is currently a Medical Assistant working in New York State. Dan brings a passionate interest in clinical best practices and global health care issues to his reportage on disease outbreaks.